← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Prigan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Regensburg win | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Preußen Münster −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 19' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · Preußen Münster |
| 24' | 🟨 | Luca Bazzoli · Preußen Münster |
| 42' | ⚽ | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Preußen Münster |
| 43' | 🟨 | Felix Gebhardt · Regensburg |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 69' | ⚽ | Simon Scherder · Preußen Münster |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rasim Bulić · Regensburg |
| 78' | 🟨 | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Preußen Münster |
| 84' | 🟨 | Niko Koulis · Preußen Münster |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| 🟨 |
| Rico Preißinger · Preußen Münster |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 1879.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1438.60 | 1305.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.85 | 5.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |