← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 58% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Preußen Münster win | 18% | 5.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.82 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 63' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Preußen Münster |
| 73' | 🟨 | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 81' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ilyas Ansah · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 88' | 🟨 | Torge Paetow · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 1324.00 | 1871.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1521.81 | 1448.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.13 | -7.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 37.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |