← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 26, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Preußen Münster win | 19% | 5.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Preußen Münster −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 34' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jessic Ngankam · Hannover |
| 48' | 🟨 | Torge Paetow · Preußen Münster |
| 64' | ⚽ | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 71' | ⚽ | Florian Pick · Preußen Münster |
| 87' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 56.00 | 1852.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1489.75 | 1461.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.69 | 8.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.78 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 30.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |