← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Erbst
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Preußen Münster win | 19% | 5.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Preußen Münster −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jorrit Hendrix · Preußen Münster |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Derry Scherhant · Hertha |
| 48' | 🟨 | Yassine Bouchama · Preußen Münster |
| 51' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
| 57' | ⚽ | Daniel Kyerewaa · Preußen Münster |
| 60' | 🟨 | Diego Demme · Hertha |
| 87' | ⚽ | Torge Paetow · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 195.00 | 1808.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1466.48 | 1443.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.85 | -3.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |