← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Preußen Münster win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Preußen Münster +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 38' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 45' | 🟨 | András Németh · Preußen Münster |
| 54' | ⚽ | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Samuel Loric · Magdeburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 81' | 🟨 | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Falko Michel · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Frenkert · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| coach days | 1802.00 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| 1405.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1456.04 | 1427.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.44 | -26.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |