← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Ulm win | 16% | 5.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ulm −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Hannover −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Semir Telalović · Ulm |
| 55' | ⚽ | Semir Telalović · Ulm |
| 60' | ⚽ | Hyun-ju Lee · Hannover |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jonathan Meier · Ulm |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 81' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kolja Oudenne · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lars Gindorf · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Gaal · Ulm |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Ulm |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 6.00 | 1255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1488.41 | 1472.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.01 | -4.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |