← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Weisbach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 62% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.41 |
| Ulm win | 15% | 6.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Ulm −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 6' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 33' | 🟨 | Philipp Maier · Ulm |
| 38' | ⚽ | Semir Telalović · Ulm |
| 52' | ⚽ | Derry Scherhant · Hertha |
| 55' | 🟨 | Semir Telalović · Ulm |
| 59' | ⚽ | Maurice Krattenmacher · Ulm |
| 72' | 🟨 | Max Brandt · Ulm |
| 76' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lucas Röser · Ulm |
| 88' | 🟨 | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonjoe Kenny · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maurice Krattenmacher · Ulm |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Ulm |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 175.00 | 1241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1461.15 | 1474.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.73 | -22.47 |
| eye test v1 | 1.11 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |