← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 10, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
| Preußen Münster win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 37' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jano ter Horst · Preußen Münster |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lukas Frenkert · Preußen Münster |
| 88' | 🟨 | Niko Koulis · Preußen Münster |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lukas Frenkert · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1744.00 | 1775.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1539.64 | 1459.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.88 | -0.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |