← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: L. Erbst
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.38 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.67 |
| Under | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Niko Giesselmann · Greuther Furth |
| 33' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 37' | 🟨 | Roberto Massimo · Greuther Furth |
| 53' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marvin Rittmüller · Braunschweig |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nemanja Motika · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 83' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 84' | 🟨 | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days |
| 325.00 |
| 813.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1340.33 | 1477.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.95 | 11.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.69 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.84 |
| league points | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| state index | -1.48 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |