← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Preußen Münster win | 30% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Preußen Münster +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| 27' | 🟨 | Torge Paetow · Preußen Münster |
| 37' | ⚽ | Filip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 42' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 46' | ⚽ | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Calvin Brackelmann · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Felix Götze · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 78' | ⚽ | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Preußen Münster |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ilyas Ansah · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lukas Frenkert · Preußen Münster |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.80 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| ⚽ |
| Joshua Mees · Preußen Münster |
| coach days | 1717.00 | 1170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.55 |
| elo | 1460.48 | 1513.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | 25.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.75 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.78 |
| league points | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.75 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.50 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.01 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 2.00 |