← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Regensburg win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Marco Meyerhofer · Greuther Furth |
| 12' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Regensburg |
| 49' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Regensburg |
| 77' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 81' | 🟨 | Roberto Massimo · Greuther Furth |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sacha Banse · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 21 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 487.00 | 791.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.52 |
| elo | 1335.47 | 1466.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.99 | 29.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.93 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |