← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Preußen Münster win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Preußen Münster +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 29' | 🟨 | Luca Bazzoli · Preußen Münster |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Preußen Münster |
| 34' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Kaiserslautern |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Kaiserslautern |
| 68' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · Preußen Münster |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niko Koulis · Preußen Münster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preußen Münster | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |
| venue | Preußen-Stadion |
| coach days | 1697.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.45 |
| elo | 1484.09 | 1429.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | 36.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.77 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |