← EFL League One 2025-26 · Thu, Apr 16, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: H. Wager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Port Vale win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Peterboro −1 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Ryan Croasdale · Port Vale |
| 16' | ⚽ | Ethon Archer · Port Vale |
| 31' | ⚽ | James Dornelly · Peterboro |
| 59' | ⚽ | Ethon Archer · Port Vale |
| 69' | 🟨 | David Kamara · Peterboro |
| 70' | 🟨 | Tyler Magloire · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 258.00 | 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1439.04 | 1354.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.92 | 9.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -1.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 51.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 23.53 | 25.39 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |