← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Preston win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Preston +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 77' | ⚽ | Daryl Dike · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 625.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1575.44 | 1568.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.83 | 38.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 57.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 0.63 |
| solidity v1 | -0.27 | 1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 26.21 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 0.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.68 |