← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Preston win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton |
| 25' | ⚽ | Lewis Dobbin · Preston |
| 33' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · Charlton |
| 65' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 68' | 🟨 | Odeluga Offiah · Preston |
| 71' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Iversen · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 800.00 | 618.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1482.48 | 1428.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.47 | -2.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 49.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.40 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -0.84 |
| solidity v1 | -1.02 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.66 | — |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.32 |