← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 38% | 2.40 |
| QPR win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| QPR +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jonathan Varane · QPR |
| 46' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kieran Morgan · QPR |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lewis Gibson · Preston |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Thierry Small · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jake Clarke-Salter · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 613.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1429.01 | 1455.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.09 | 23.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 53.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.75 |
| solidity v1 | -1.47 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.96 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.36 |