← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 62% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Preston win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Preston −1 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 17' | ⚽ | Ali Ahmed · Norwich |
| 39' | ⚽ | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 87' | 🟨 | Brad Potts · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 225.00 | 590.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1488.77 | 1423.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.03 | -48.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 48.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.74 |
| solidity v1 | 1.57 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.45 | — |
| state index | 0.71 | -1.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 2.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 0.74 |