← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Mar 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Oxford win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Oxford −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 12' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 55' | ⚽ | Will Lankshear · Oxford |
| 61' | ⚽ | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 582.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1584.71 | 1514.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.87 | -1.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 49.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 32.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -1.97 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -1.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.72 |