← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 24, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 53% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Preston win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Preston −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Daniel Jebbison · Preston |
| 56' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
| 64' | 🟨 | Lewis Dobbin · Preston |
| 82' | 🟨 | Josh Key · Swansea |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.84 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 238.00 | 572.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1609.18 | 1597.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.79 | -11.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| league points | 45.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -1.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.56 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.62 |