← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Feb 20, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Preston win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Preston −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Hayden Carter · Blackburn |
| 70' | 🟨 | Callum Lang · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eiran Joe Cashin · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thierry Small · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 203.00 | 568.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1424.17 | 1472.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.26 | -24.73 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 35.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -1.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.79 |