← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 19% | 4.75 |
| Preston win | 11% | 8.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Preston −1.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Preston |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 72' | ⚽ | Lewis Gibson · Preston |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1522.00 | 548.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1545.54 | 1462.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.69 | -21.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| league points | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.95 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.81 | — |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 0.90 |