← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 63% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Preston win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Preston −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Alan Browne · Middlesbrough |
| 26' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 28' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 42' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough |
| 50' | 🟥 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 54' | ⚽ | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days |
| 176.00 |
| 541.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 4.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1527.89 | 1475.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.52 | -13.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 52.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 2.69 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | -0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 0.94 |