← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Martin, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Hull win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Preston −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Liam Millar · Hull |
| 45' | 🟨 | Odeluga Offiah · Preston |
| 45' | ⚽ | Akin Famewo · Hull |
| 49' | ⚽ | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jamal Lewis · Preston |
| 59' | 🟨 | John Egan · Hull |
| 90' | 🟥 | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 537.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1496.90 | 1485.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.64 | 15.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 43.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -1.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.68 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.11 |