← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Kirk, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.39 |
| Preston win | 24% | 3.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Stoke −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Pol Valentín · Preston |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ben Wilmot · Stoke |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Róbert Boženík · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Pearson · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Gibson · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bet365 Stadium |
| coach days |
| 359.00 |
| 512.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 4.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1468.88 | 1488.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.95 | 18.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| league points | 33.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.92 |
| solidity v1 | -0.71 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | — |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.89 |