← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Martin, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Norwich win | 30% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.25 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Norwich −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Jacob Wright · Norwich |
| 50' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 64' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kellen Fisher · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Will Keane · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 506.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.51 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1492.83 | 1381.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.17 | 25.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| league points | 35.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.48 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 29.13 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.44 |