← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: James Linington, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Oxford win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Oxford +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 43' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 49' | ⚽ | Daniel Jebbison · Preston |
| 53' | ⚽ | Brian De Keersmaecker · Oxford |
| 78' | 🟨 | Daniel Jebbison · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days |
| 134.00 |
| 499.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 4.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1424.43 | 1482.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.74 | 1.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | -0.79 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.02 |