← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Ben Toner, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 44% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
| Preston win | 27% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0.5 | 59% | 1.85 |
| Coventry +0.5 | 41% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.92 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟥 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 43' | 🟨 | Daniel Jebbison · Preston |
| 70' | ⚽ (og) | Andrew Hughes · Coventry |
| 76' | ⚽ | Daniel Jebbison · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 495.00 | 403.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.51 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1480.67 | 1615.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.62 | 14.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 19.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.55 |