← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lewis Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Wrexham win | 29% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Preston −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alfie Devine · Preston |
| 63' | 🟨 | Arthur Okonkwo · Wrexham |
| 81' | ⚽ | Harrison Armstrong · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 16 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 492.00 | 1619.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1477.74 | 1642.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.68 | 1.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.90 |
| league points | 30.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.17 |