← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Paul Tierney, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Blackburn win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Blackburn +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Lewis Miller · Blackburn |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alfie Devine · Preston |
| 62' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 477.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1481.47 | 1440.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.70 | 12.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 13.31 | 13.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.73 |