← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Nov 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Anthony Backhouse, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.95 |
| Swansea win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Preston −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Thierry Small · Preston |
| 48' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 49' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 61' | 🟨 | Thierry Small · Preston |
| 80' | ⚽ | Ji-sung Eom · Swansea |
| 82' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ishé Samuels-Smith · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 461.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1471.06 | 1460.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.81 | -16.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.85 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.20 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.72 |