← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Preston win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| West Brom −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Phillips · West Brom |
| 40' | ⚽ | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 62' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 66' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · West Brom |
| 78' | ⚽ | Michael Smith · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 78.00 | 443.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1468.19 | 1462.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.90 | 31.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.61 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.43 | — |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.06 |