← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: James Linington, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Charlton win | 34% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Charlton +0 | 49% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
| 67' | ⚽ | Thierry Small · Preston |
| 80' | ⚽ | Daniel Jebbison · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke Berry · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 429.00 | 611.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1584.97 | 1596.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.17 | 16.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -1.32 |
| solidity v1 | 0.07 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.37 | 27.55 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.88 |