← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 44% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Preston win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 51% | 2.00 |
| Preston −0.25 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 34' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 41' | ⚽ | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
| 48' | 🟨 | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days |
| 972.00 |
| 394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1476.51 | 1438.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.66 | 11.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.81 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.61 |