← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Preston win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Preston +0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 26' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ben Johnson · Ipswich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pol Valentín · Preston |
| 82' | 🟨 | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 84' | 🟨 | Thierry Small · Preston |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kasey McAteer · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alistair McCann · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 387.00 | 1361.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1430.68 | 1423.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.31 | -22.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.83 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | — |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.13 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.65 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.20 |