← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Preston win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston +0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Leicester +0.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Alfie Devine · Preston |
| 67' | ⚽ | Jeremy Monga · Leicester |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jordan Storey · Preston |
| 85' | 🟨 | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 85' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 380.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 4.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1555.05 | 1674.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.56 | 32.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.94 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.14 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 26.34 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 0.93 |