← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Preston win | 32% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 54% | 1.88 |
| Preston +0 | 46% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ (og) | Benjamin Whiteman · QPR |
| 48' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 71' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 84' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 86' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 39.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1426.82 | 1419.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.17 | -33.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.38 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.20 |