← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, May 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Preston win | 22% | 4.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Bristol City −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | — · Preston |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
| 28' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 32' | 🟨 | Robbie Brady · Preston |
| 50' | 🟨 | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 60' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 74' | ⚽ | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Haydon Roberts · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 549.00 |
| 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1509.26 | 1415.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.66 | -40.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 67.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -1.10 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.29 | -1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 1.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.28 |