← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Mon, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bramall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Preston win | 21% | 4.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Preston −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.72 |
| Over | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Lewis Gibson · Preston |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 66' | 🟨 | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robbie Brady · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | The MKM Stadium |
| 141.00 |
| 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1414.83 | 1435.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.25 | -41.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| league points | 45.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.43 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.16 | — |
| state index | -0.53 | -1.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.76 |