← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| QPR win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Preston −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 48' | 🟨 | Rayan Kolli · QPR |
| 52' | 🟨 | Benjamin Whiteman · Preston |
| 70' | 🟨 | Harrison Ashby · QPR |
| 80' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lucas Andersen · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 260.00 | 565.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1448.40 | 1423.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.10 | 10.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 49.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.56 |
| solidity v1 | -0.26 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.01 |