← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 77% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.25 |
| Preston win | 8% | 13.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −1.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Leeds −1.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Manor Solomon · Leeds |
| 6' | ⚽ | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 13' | ⚽ | Jayden Bogle · Leeds |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 72' | 🟨 | Karl Darlow · Leeds |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ethan Ampadu · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 651.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1633.24 | 1452.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.11 | -12.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 85.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.07 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 0.85 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.85 | — |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.20 |