← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 8, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Cardiff win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −0.25 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Preston −0.25 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 52' | ⚽ | Will Alves · Cardiff |
| 72' | ⚽ | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
| 86' | 🟨 | William Fish · Cardiff |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yakou Méïté · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days |
| 250.00 |
| 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1455.72 | 1395.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.59 | -1.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 48.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -1.10 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 0.77 |