← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Stoke win | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Preston −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 15' | 🟨 | Robbie Brady · Preston |
| 39' | 🟨 | Milutin Osmajić · Preston |
| 55' | 🟨 | Sam Gallagher · Stoke |
| 74' | 🟨 | Liam Lindsay · Preston |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Lewis Baker · Stoke |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lewis Baker · Stoke |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jordan Thompson · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| 247.00 |
| 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1458.68 | 1413.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.95 | 10.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 47.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.59 |
| solidity v1 | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 0.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.28 |