← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.16 |
| Portsmouth win | 28% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Preston −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Mads Frøkjær-Jensen · Preston |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ryan Porteous · Preston |
| 83' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 87' | ⚽ | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 90' | 🟥 | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Waddingham · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 226.00 | 804.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1468.51 | 1479.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.89 | 12.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| league points | 44.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.25 |