← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Preston win | 16% | 6.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sunderland −1 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lewis Gibson · Preston |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Preston |
| 65' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 86' | ⚽ | Romaine Mundle · Sunderland |
| 90' | 🟨 | Freddie Woodman · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 253.00 | 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1537.67 | 1464.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.53 | -17.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| league points | 68.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | -0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 23.06 | — |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 0.89 |