← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Hull win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bristol City −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | João Pedro · Hull |
| 14' | 🟥 | João Pedro · Hull |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alfie Jones · Hull |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 58' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 78' | 🟨 | Steven Alzate · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cody Drameh · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 5 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 14 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 493.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1518.73 | 1412.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.78 | 13.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 52.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | 0.71 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 23.30 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.94 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 0.93 |