← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Millwall win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Preston −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.37 |
| Over | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Mihailo Ivanovic · Millwall |
| 47' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 51' | 🟨 | Raees Bangura-Williams · Millwall |
| 63' | 🟨 | Joe Bryan · Millwall |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tristan Crama · Millwall |
| 90' | 🟨 | George Honeyman · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 201.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1484.40 | 1462.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.09 | 8.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -0.85 |
| solidity v1 | 0.89 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.03 |