← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Preston win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Preston +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ashley Barnes · Burnley |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ryan Porteous · Preston |
| 78' | 🟨 | Zian Flemming · Burnley |
| 80' | 🟨 | Andrew Hughes · Preston |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaidon Anthony · Burnley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 198.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1482.69 | 1602.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.21 | 21.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 70.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.93 |
| league points | 40.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | 0.73 |
| solidity v1 | 0.89 | 2.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.05 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 0.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.34 |