β EFL Championship 2024-25 Β· Tue, Feb 11, 08:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| Preston win | 19% | 5.12 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich β0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Preston β0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ | Milutin OsmajiΔ Β· Preston |
| 64' | π¨ | Ryan Ledson Β· Preston |
| 65' | π¨ | Ante Crnac Β· Norwich |
| 80' | π¨ | Freddie Woodman Β· Preston |
| 89' | π¨ | Andrew Hughes Β· Preston |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 225.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1436.11 | 1472.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.07 | 9.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.78 |
| league points | 43.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 11.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.52 |
| solidity v1 | 0.26 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.46 | β |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.03 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.19 |