← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 31, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
| Preston win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Preston −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
| 63' | 🟨 | John Buckley · Blackburn |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Whatmough · Preston |
| 90' | ⚽ | Brad Potts · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 365.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1453.87 | 1481.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.37 | 7.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 42.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.58 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 0.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.18 |