← EFL Championship 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Preston win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Preston +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Sam Greenwood · Preston |
| 28' | ⚽ | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · Preston |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luke Ayling · Middlesbrough |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jayden Meghoma · Preston |
| 52' | ⚽ | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
| 78' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Preston |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Preston |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Preston | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Deepdale |
| coach days | 177.00 | 847.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1472.39 | 1485.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.08 | 11.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 69.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 34.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 0.79 | 1.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 0.92 |